Potential Tropical Cyclone Two has become Tropical Storm Bonnie, according to a special advisory Friday morning from the National Hurricane Center.
The storm is forecast to make landfall tonight. Heavy rains are expected to cause flash flooding and mudslides in Nicaragua and Costa Rica.
Farther north, what used to be Invest 95L is bringing heavy rain to drought-stricken areas in Texas. The system is no longer being tracked by the Hurricane Center as of its 8 am advisory.
Tea National Weather Service in Houston said a flood watch was in effect for the area and south of Interstate 10 with the greatest risk along the immediate coast earlier this morning. Another 3 to 4 inches of rain is possible today, with some locations possibly receiving more.
The Hurricane Center also is continuing to keep an eye on another tropical wave moving toward the Windward Islands. It’s not expected to strengthen as it moves into the eastern Caribbean over the weekend.
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As the tropical rainstorm moves over Texas, showers and thunderstorms will increase over northeastern Texas and expand over western Louisiana and into southern Arkansas through the end of the week, the forecast, according to AccuWeather.
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Here’s the latest update from the NHC as of 11 am July 1.
Details on Tropical Storm Bonnie
- Location: 195 miles east-southeast of Bluefields, Nicaragua; 1,034 miles south of Naples
- Max wind speed: 40mph
- Direction: west at 20 mph
- Next advisory: 2 p.m.
What’s out there and where are they?
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two: At 11 am, the center of Tropical Storm Bonnie was located about 195 miles east-southeast of Bluefields, Nicaragua.
Bonnie is moving toward the west near 20 mph and has continued westward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Saturday night. A west-northwestward motion is expected to begin on Sunday and continue into Monday.
On the forecast track, Bonnie will move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea today, cross southern Nicaragua or northern Costa Rica tonight, and emerge over the eastern Pacific Ocean on Saturday.
The system will then move offshore of but parallel to the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico Saturday through Monday.
Atlantic tropical wave: A tropical wave located about 100 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
How likely are they to strengthen?
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two: Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph, with higher tastes.
Bonnie is expected to strengthen before it makes landfall tonight. After landfall, short-term weakening is forecast on Saturday, but Bonnie is expected to restrengthen later this weekend and early next week over the eastern Pacific. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center.
- Training chance through 48 hours: high, 90 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days: high, 90 percent.
Bonnie is forecast to become a Category 1 hurricane Tuesday morning with winds of 80 mph.
Atlantic tropical wave: Associated showers and gusty winds are expected to spread across the Windward Islands later today. Any development of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so before the wave moves into unfavorable conditions over the eastern Caribbean Sea.
- Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days: low, 10 percent.
Who is likely to be impacted?
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two: Tropical Storm Bonnie will produce heavy rain across portions of Nicaragua and Costa Rica through Saturday. Both countries could receive 4 to 8 inches, with some locations receiving 12 inches.
Tropical storm conditions are expected over San Andres Island today. Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the tropical storm warning area along the Caribbean coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica by this evening and will spread west to the Pacific coast within the warning areas overnight.
Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast of Nicaragua near and to the north of where the center makes landfall.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for:
- San Andrés Colombia
- Limon, Costa Rica, north to Sandy Bay Sirpi, Nicaragua
- Cabo Blanco, Costa Rica, north to the border of Nicaragua and Honduras
Invest 95L: Heavy rain is possible along portions of the Texas coast for the next two days.
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The heaviest rainfall will occur from just east of Houston to Beaumont, north to Lufkin, Texas, into Friday afternoon where 4 to 8 inches is likely. Some areas could see 16 inches, according to AccuWeather.
Most of the downpours and thunderstorms associated with the tropical rainstorm are likely to remain in the east of San Antonio and the Dallas metro area.
Some of the more intense thunderstorms near the Texas coast will bring the risk of strong wind gusts, hail and an isolated tornado or waterspout.
Meteorologists said motorists may experience travel delays as some roads could be blocked by rushing water and/or ponding, including in the Houston area. Airports in the area could also be affected by the tropical weather.
Atlantic tropical wave: It’s too early at this time to determine if there will be any impact to the US from this tropical wave.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared during what’s expected to be an active hurricane season.
Weather watches and warnings issued for your area
The next five days
See the National Hurricane Center’s five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.
Excessive rainfall forecast
What’s out there?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.
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